Tag Archive | "Republican"

Brooklyn Republican Leader Holds Out For His Man

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HOST INTRO: Mayor Bloomberg has less than a year left in office. A crowded field of contenders hopes to replace him. On the Republican side, five candidates are already vying for endorsements. But, as Matthew Vann reports, one Brooklyn Republican leader is holding out on supporting any of the GOP mayoral hopefuls.

On a recent Sunday afternoon, a group made up mostly of men, gather in the back room of Ceol’s Irish Pub downtown Brooklyn. The meeting of the Young Republican Club is getting underway.

[fade up AMBI: Pledge of Allegiance]

Members take their patriotism seriously and begin every meeting with the pledge of allegiance. They don’t have much time to determine who they’ll back for mayor. And they’re republicans in a very democratic city.

[AMBI: Glenn Nocera welcoming the group]

Glenn Nocera is the president of the Brooklyn Young Republican club – not to be confused with the Brooklyn Young Republicans Club. He’s 37-year-old and his members are more conservative than most other GOP political groups in the City. That’s why Nocera’s not endorsing anyone yet.

NOCERA: Every one of them, from my knowledge, is for abortion. And that’s one social issue that I’m certainly not for. A lot of them also for gay marriage. I’m not for that.

Of his fellow Brooklyn republicans, Nocera stands alone – he’s conservative fiscally and socially. And he’s waiting for someone to speak directly to the issues he cares about. That makes him more attractive to mayoral candidates like Joe Lhota, the guest speaker for this meeting.

[Applause for Lhota]

Lhota is warmly received but they are eager for him to get to the point.

[Nocera welcoming Lhota]

He steps to the center of the room and starts by playing up his connection to the neighborhood.

LHOTA: I moved to Brooklyn 25 years ago and I’ve lived in Brooklyn ever since.

And Lhota even caught Nocera’s ear with his opposition to a few of the most controversial policies of the Bloomberg administration.

NOCERA: I like that he’s against the camera lights and he want’s to do away with that soda ban thing.

But one issue Lhota is keen to address is the recent subway fare hike. It happened only a few months after he stepped as down as the MTA chief.

LHOTA: When I went there for the one year that I was there I did everything to keep costs under control. Discretionary costs in 2012 were less than 2011. The reason for the fare increase is directly related to the increase in pensions.

He knows it’s an issue likely to surface in debates with his fellow GOP candidates. And there are still a lot of them.

LHOTA: Is the field of republican candidates too crowded? No. I love to have a robust debate on issues. I think the concept of a crowded field is a good thing. (tight edit)

Thomas Hilton is a member of the Brooklyn Brownstone Republicans club. He’s not so sure of that.

HILTON: Some people think a big primary fight is good. I don’t. I think you need a lot of time to get a strong candidate out and before the public. And plus if the public doesn’t know who he is they’re not really gonna support him.

In a city where Democrats outnumber Republicans 6-to-1, it’s not going to be easy for a Republican to win. And so far, it’s been a game of musical chairs when it comes to endorsements ahead of the city’s Republican primary in September. That’s why many of the republican candidates are meeting with Glenn Nocera’s Young Republican Club. Nocera knows the clock is ticking, but says it doesn’t solve anything to rush into an endorsement too quickly.

NOCERA: We need to be working together because we’re out numbered to begin with. We can’t be fighting like we’re in high school. And with that I’d gladly work with anyone that wants to help grow the Republican Party.

And he’ll have until September to see who fits the bill for his endorsement.

Matthew Vann. Columbia Radio News.

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Santorum, Gingrich Defy the Math

Mitt Romney greets supporters at his Super Tuesday primary party in Boston. Photo by Gerald Herbert, AP.

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BY BEN BRADFORD

Host: Super Tuesday, the largest single day of voting in the Republican presidential race, came and went this week.

Former governor Mitt Romney has the most delegates by far, and his campaign claims his opponents are ignoring the “basic principles of math” by staying in the race—because they can’t earn enough delegates to win the party’s nomination.

Mathematically, that’s almost, but not quite, true. But Ben Bradford reports Romney’s opponents may be looking at another path to victory.

Bradford: Let’s do the math—quickly I promise: It takes 1,144 delegates to elect the Republican nominee, and so far former Senator Rick Santorum—in second place—has about 160. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has about 100. Mitt Romney has 404, more than double their amounts, combined.

With about 1400 delegates in the remaining contests, it’s an uphill climb for non-Romney candidates to reach the magic number of 1,144. Political scientist and statistician Ken Jillson explains what it would take.

Jillson: They would have to win about two-thirds of the delegates that remain available and it’s sufficiently difficult that it’s nearly impossible, but it’s not mathematically impossible.

Bradford: In races so far, winning candidates have generally earned 35 or 40 percent of a state’s delegates, so two-thirds is a tall order, or as Jillson says, nearly impossible. But the candidates have shown no sign they see it that way. Here’s Gingrich in Georgia on Super Tuesday, after winning only that state:

Gingrich: We’re going on to Alabama. [Cheers] We’re going on to Mississippi. [Cheers] We’re going on to Kansas.

Bradford: Gingrich probably can’t win, but he can also not lose. If current voting patterns hold, Romney won’t get to 1,044 for months. If successfully slowed down, he might never reach the winning number.

Helping this strategy, elections next week in Kansas, Alabama, Mississippi, and Missouri favor the more conservative candidates. That will provide an opportunity for Gingrich and Santorum to peel away support from Romney.

Santorum is in better position than Gingrich, with a higher delegate count and more state wins under his belt.

Santorum: I’m asking for your help and support on Tuesday, you do that, you deliver us a victory on Tuesday. We will make this a two-person race, and once it’s a two person race, the conservative will be the nominee.

Bradford: That’s Santorum speaking yesterday in Alabama. He wants to stop Gingrich from winning anymore, from keeping any momentum, and to drop out. Then, in an ideal scenario for Santorum, Jillson explains:

Jillson: All of that anti-Romney vote could consolidate around him and give him a chance to beat Romney and go into the convention with a number of delegates, perhaps still less than Romney but hold Romney under a majority and then fight it out at the convention.

Bradford: The Republican convention is usually a formality for the candidate who has already won. But in this scenario, the decision would occur at the convention. It would also be chaos. Quin Monson at the Brigham Young University’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy says in that kind of convention anyone could be nominated—Romney, Gingrich, Santorum, or even someone who isn’t running, like New Jersey governor Chris Christie or former Florida governor Jeb Bush.

Monson says the effect will be to hurt the eventual nominee’s chances, whoever he is—probably Romney.

Monson: If I’m a true-blue Republican, I want Romney to get the nomination and I want him to wrap it up quickly. I want Santorum and Gingrich to bow out gracefully and to endorse Romney and to be nice [laughs].

Bradford: Like all of these scenarios, the chances of that happening look slim. Not impossible, but slim.

Ben Bradford, Columbia Radio News

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Partying Like a Young Republican

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BY RACHEL ROGERS
On Super Tuesday, the New York Young Republicans gathered to celebrate at a bar on the East Side. In this “Voices of New York” postcard, we dropped by to check out the scene.

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Is the GOP Ready for Super Tuesday?

Campaign workers man the phones at the Romney headquarters on Feb. 27 in Montpelier, Vt. Vermont is one of seven states across the country that will be voting on Super Tuesday. Photo by Toby Talbot, AP.

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BY PAUL SMITH

HOST: Earlier this week, Sean Trende, the senior elections analyst for Real Clear Politics, called the Republican primary campaign is “an even bigger mess than most realize.” He wrote that before Mitt Romney went on to win the Michigan and Arizona primaries. Now, with Super Tuesday looming, Trende says the GOP campaign is still pretty messy.

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